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Justin Bieber to become most followed user on Twitter, dethroning Lady Gaga

UPDATE TUESDAY JANUARY 22TH

After putting up a great fight (which took longer than we expected), Justin Bieber took Lady Gaga’s crown this early morning (CET time). Currently the difference in follower count is fluctuating between 1000-2000, proving the margins were really really close. Check out our Top 100 page to check the numbers!

Yesterday we released a press release about our prediction on Justin Bieber overtaken Lady Gaga as the most followed user on Twitter (see the press release here), here’s the news for you!

Lady Gaga, the unofficial queen of Twitter, has ruled the Twitter kingdom since August 2010 when she overtook Britney Spears as the most followed person on Twitter. But it seems now that young boy wonder Justin Bieber is planning on staging a coup and taking the crown to become the first king of Twitter since Ashton Kutcher held the first place.

For now, Lady Gaga is in the lead with 33,103,865 followers compared to Justin Bieber’s 33,037,430 followers (Wednesday January 16th). These numbers are updated hourly at Twitter Counter.

Bieber’s account is growing at a faster rate than Gaga’s, adding around 45.000 followers on a daily basis compared to 28.000 followers new daily followers for Lady Gaga.

When Lady Gaga overtook Britney Spears as the most followed person, Justin Bieber was already closing in to grab the number one spot. It took him almost 18 months to get it but he’s taking the Twitter crown on Sunday, January 20 between 4:23pm and 4:24pm EST.

Predicting a specific date is very difficult as the margins between the two accounts are really close (around 15.000), but this is our current predicted time.

Twitter Counter’s prediction tool is based on historical data and the trajectory is calculated from that data. We have been tracking the accounts of Lady Gaga and Justin Bieber from the moment their accounts were created we have a large dataset to base our predictions on.

We’ve predicted some nice milestones in the past as well: Last September we correctly predicted when Lady Gaga would hit the 30 million followers mark. We also predicted Charlie Sheen would hit 1 Million followers in 2 days. (see point 5 in this article). When NBA star Jeremy Lin exploded on Twitter we predicted when he would reach 1 Million followers.

Twitter Counter currently tracks over 82 Million Twitter users and provides people with simple and professional Twitter stats.

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